
Executive Summary
In the span of about three years, data centers went from a quiet, specialized corner of commercial real estate to the single most sought-after asset class in the country. The reason is simple: artificial intelligence turned computing into an industrial activity, and industrial activity needs an enormous, physical home — land, steel, water, fiber, and above all electricity. The companies racing to build that home are some of the most creditworthy tenants in the world, and they are signing leases measured not in square feet but in megawatts.
Why data centers became the fastest-growing real estate asset class
Traditional real estate is valued on location, rent, and cap rates. Data center real estate broke that model. A hyperscale operator does not care whether a parcel has a pretty view or sits on a popular retail corridor. It cares whether the site can deliver tens or hundreds of megawatts of reliable power, on a defined timeline, with fiber connectivity and water for cooling. When those boxes are checked, the land commands prices that would be unthinkable for the same dirt sold as industrial, agricultural, or residential ground. A 500-acre former coal plant that might trade as scrap-and-salvage industrial land can, with the right power infrastructure, be worth many multiples more as a data center campus. That repricing — driven by power, not place — is what makes the asset class explosive.
AI's impact on power demand
The defining shift is electrical. A conventional cloud or enterprise data center hall might run a rack at 5–10 kW. A rack packed with AI accelerators for training large language models can draw 40–130 kW or more, and next-generation systems push higher still. Multiply that across thousands of racks and a single AI campus can demand 100 MW to over 1 GW — the power footprint of a mid-sized city. For the first time in decades, electricity demand growth in the United States is being driven materially by a single new category of customer. Utilities that spent twenty years planning around flat load are now fielding interconnection requests that dwarf anything in their history.
Why power matters more than land
This is the sentence that reorganizes everything: "The first question isn't how many acres. It's how many megawatts." Land is abundant and relatively cheap. Deliverable, reliable, near-term power is scarce, expensive, and slow. You can entitle and grade a site in months; bringing a new high-voltage interconnection and substation online can take years and tens of millions of dollars. The result is that the value, the risk, and the competitive moat in data center development all migrate toward power. Whoever controls — or can credibly deliver — megawatts controls the deal.
Why brownfields are becoming strategic assets
Because power is the bottleneck, the most valuable parcels are often the ones that already sit on top of heavy electrical infrastructure. That describes the old industrial economy almost perfectly: retired coal-fired power plants, shuttered steel mills, idle paper mills, and large manufacturing complexes. They come with existing substations, high-voltage transmission, industrial zoning, water rights, rail, and large contiguous acreage. A retired coal plant may have a 230 kV or 500 kV switchyard and an interconnection that a greenfield developer would wait half a decade to obtain. The infrastructure of the 20th-century industrial economy is becoming the foundation of the 21st-century AI economy.
The opportunity — for every player at the table
Control powered or power-adjacent land, secure interconnection, and deliver shovel-ready or powered-shell sites to hyperscale and colocation tenants at a substantial development spread.
Underwrite long-duration, investment-grade-backed cash flows — or take development-stage land basis positions in the path of power and demand.
Capture decades of new load growth, justify transmission upgrades, and structure large-load tariffs, behind-the-meter, and generation partnerships.
Convert tax-dormant brownfields into the largest property-tax and capital-investment base in the county — often with minimal demand on schools or traffic.
Discover that acreage near transmission, substations, or fiber routes may be worth far more for compute than for any prior use — if it can be powered.
The chapters that follow unpack each of these in depth, starting with the basics — what a data center actually is — and building toward the megawatt math, the brownfield thesis, the underwriting framework, and a 150+ question reference FAQ.
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Chapter 1 — What Is a Data Center?
A data center is a purpose-built facility that houses computing hardware — servers, storage, and networking — together with the power, cooling, and connectivity needed to keep that hardware running continuously. At its simplest, it is a building optimized to convert electricity into computation and to remove the resulting heat. Everything distinctive about data center real estate flows from those two jobs: feeding power in, and getting heat out.
Physically, a data center is organized around the white space (the raised-floor or slab area where IT racks live) and the gray space (the supporting mechanical and electrical plant — switchgear, uninterruptible power supplies, generators, chillers, and cooling distribution). A facility is described less by its square footage than by its critical IT load in megawatts — the amount of power available to the computing equipment itself, separate from cooling and overhead.
Types of Data Centers
Not all data centers are the same animal. The category drives the tenant, the lease structure, the power density, and the kind of land and power a developer needs to assemble.
| Type | Who operates it | Typical size | What it's for |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperscale | Cloud & AI giants (AWS, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Oracle) | 30 MW – 1 GW+ campuses | Massive cloud platforms and AI training/inference at enormous scale |
| Colocation | Operators like Equinix, Digital Realty, QTS, CyrusOne | 5 MW – several hundred MW | Leasing space/power to many tenants (retail colo) or single large tenants (wholesale colo) |
| Enterprise | A single company for its own use | <1 MW – tens of MW | A corporation's own IT — banks, hospitals, manufacturers |
| Edge | Carriers, content & cloud providers | kW – a few MW | Small, distributed sites close to users to cut latency |
| AI Training | AI labs & hyperscalers | 50 MW – 1 GW+ | Dense GPU clusters training large models; extreme power density |
| AI Inference | Cloud & AI providers | 1 MW – hundreds of MW | Serving trained models to users; often closer to population centers |
Hyperscale
Hyperscale facilities are the giants — campuses built by or for the largest cloud and AI operators. They are designed for standardization, rapid replication, and immense scale, often planned in phases that grow from tens of megawatts to several hundred or more. Hyperscale tenants are the most powerful force in the land market because their power appetite is effectively unbounded and their credit is exceptional.
Colocation
A colocation ("colo") provider builds the shell, power, and cooling, then leases capacity to others. Retail colocation serves many smaller tenants who rent racks or cages; wholesale colocation leases large, dedicated blocks of power (often whole data halls) to single large customers — frequently the hyperscalers themselves, who lease wholesale capacity to supplement what they build.
Enterprise
An enterprise data center is owned and run by one organization for its own workloads. Once the default model, enterprise has steadily migrated to cloud and colo, but banks, hospitals, government, and certain manufacturers still run their own for control, latency, or compliance reasons.
Edge
Edge data centers are small facilities placed close to end users — in or near metro areas, at the base of cell towers, or inside existing buildings — to reduce latency for applications like streaming, gaming, autonomous systems, and real-time AI inference. They trade scale for proximity.
AI Training Facilities
AI training facilities exist to train large models. They concentrate thousands of GPUs into tightly networked clusters, producing the highest power densities in the industry and enormous cooling demands. Because training is somewhat latency-tolerant, these facilities can be sited wherever large blocks of cheap, reliable power exist — which is exactly why power-rich regions and brownfields matter.
AI Inference Facilities
Inference facilities run already-trained models to answer user requests. Inference is more latency-sensitive than training, so these tend to sit closer to population centers and often blend into colocation and edge footprints. As AI usage scales, inference is expected to become the larger long-run share of compute.
The major entities you'll encounter
Amazon Web Services (AWS)
The largest cloud provider; one of the most aggressive builders of hyperscale capacity and a relentless consumer of power and powered land.
Microsoft
Azure cloud plus deep AI ties; a leading driver of new campus development and large power-purchase and nuclear deals.
Google Cloud and AI workloads; long-time hyperscale developer with major investments in clean power and advanced cooling.
Meta Platforms
Builds enormous owned campuses for AI and social workloads; known for very large single-site power commitments.
Oracle
Oracle Cloud Infrastructure has become a major AI-training host, signing some of the largest capacity deals in the market.
Behind these names sit the colocation developers (Equinix, Digital Realty, QTS, CyrusOne, Vantage, Switch and others) who build much of the physical capacity, plus the chipmakers — above all NVIDIA — whose hardware sets the power density that every building must be engineered around.
Chapter 2 — Why Data Centers Are Exploding
Data center demand has compounded for two decades on the back of the internet, mobile, and cloud computing. What changed recently is the arrival of a second growth engine — artificial intelligence — layered on top of an already-growing base. The combination has produced demand that is straining the power grid itself.
AI Demand
AI is the accelerant. Training and running large models is extraordinarily compute-intensive, and that compute translates directly into power and physical space.
ChatGPT and the consumer AI moment
The public launch of ChatGPT turned AI from a research curiosity into a mass-market product overnight, triggering a global race to build the infrastructure behind it. Every major technology company responded by committing tens of billions of dollars to compute capacity, and that capital lands as concrete, steel, and megawatts.
LLMs (large language models)
Large language models are trained on vast datasets using enormous clusters of accelerators running for weeks or months. Each new generation of model tends to demand more compute than the last, and training is only half the story — once trained, models must be served continuously.
GPU clusters
Modern AI runs on GPU clusters (and related accelerators) wired together with high-speed networking so thousands of chips behave like one machine. These clusters are the densest, hottest, most power-hungry hardware ever deployed at scale, and they are the reason rack densities jumped from single-digit kilowatts to many tens of kilowatts.
Inferencing
Inferencing — actually using a trained model to generate answers — is where AI meets the user. As adoption grows, aggregate inference demand can exceed training demand, and because it is latency-sensitive, it pulls capacity toward population centers and the edge.
Cloud Computing
Underneath the AI wave, ordinary cloud computing keeps growing. Businesses continue migrating workloads off their own servers and into AWS, Azure, Google Cloud, and Oracle. Every SaaS app, streaming service, and corporate system that moves to the cloud adds steady baseline demand for data center capacity independent of AI.
Digital Transformation
Across every industry, "digital transformation" — moving operations, records, and customer interactions online — generates data and the need to store, process, and protect it. The long migration from paper and on-premises systems to digital and cloud is nowhere near finished and adds durable, recurring demand.
Autonomous Vehicles
Self-driving systems generate and consume staggering amounts of data — training perception models, processing sensor feeds, running simulations, and updating fleets. As autonomy advances, both the training (centralized) and the real-time inference (edge) components push data center demand higher.
Robotics
Industrial and consumer robotics, increasingly powered by AI, depend on models trained in data centers and, often, on low-latency inference nearby. The same compute backbone behind language models underlies the coming wave of physical automation.
Defense Applications
National defense and intelligence increasingly rely on AI, simulation, and large-scale data processing — much of it in secure, often domestically sited facilities. The strategic importance of compute has made data centers a matter of national security as well as commerce.
Healthcare
Genomics, medical imaging, drug discovery, and AI-assisted diagnostics are all compute-heavy. Healthcare's digitization and its adoption of AI add another durable demand stream, often with strict data-residency and security requirements that favor specific facilities and locations.
Chapter 3 — The New Currency Is Power
If you remember one chapter, make it this one. The entire data center land market reorganizes around a single resource: electricity. Power is the currency. Everything else — acreage, zoning, fiber, even water — is negotiable or solvable. Power is the constraint that makes or breaks a site.
Why Land Doesn't Matter Without Power
A perfect 1,000-acre parcel — flat, dry, well-zoned, fiber overhead — is worth very little to a data center developer if it cannot get power for seven years. Conversely, a modest 80-acre site adjacent to a large substation with available capacity can be worth a fortune. This inverts the traditional real estate hierarchy, where location leads. In data centers, the binding question is delivery of megawatts, and that is why the industry repeats the same line:
Land is a commodity input; reliable near-term power is the scarce asset. A developer's real job is often less about real estate and more about securing an electrical interconnection — navigating the utility, the queue, the substation, and the transmission system. Whoever solves power wins.
Understanding Power Capacity
Data center scale is measured in megawatts (MW) and, increasingly, gigawatts (GW). Here is a rough sense of what different capacities mean.
| Capacity | Rough scale | What it represents |
|---|---|---|
10 MW | Small / single building | A modest colocation facility or one data hall; powers on the order of several thousand average US homes. |
50 MW | Mid-size facility | A solid single-building or small-campus deployment; a meaningful new load for many utilities. |
100 MW | Large facility / small campus | A major hyperscale building or phase; tens of thousands of homes' worth of power. |
500 MW | Major campus | A large multi-building AI/cloud campus; requires dedicated transmission and substation infrastructure. |
1 GW (1,000 MW) | Mega-campus | City-scale load. The frontier of AI campuses; often needs new generation, not just new wires. |
Single building / small colo
Hyperscale building or phase
City-scale AI mega-campus
Utility Constraints
The utility is the gatekeeper. Whether — and when — a site can be powered depends on the local utility's available capacity, its transmission system, its interconnection process, and its willingness and ability to build new infrastructure. A site in a constrained service territory may face multi-year waits or be told that large new load simply cannot be served near-term. Understanding the serving utility is step one of any site evaluation.
Substations
A substation steps high-voltage transmission power down to levels a data center can use, and is the physical point where a campus connects to the grid. Proximity to a substation with available capacity — or the ability to build a new one and tie into nearby transmission — is one of the most valuable attributes a site can have. Substation buildouts are expensive and slow, so existing capacity is gold.
Transmission Lines
High-voltage transmission lines (often 115 kV, 138 kV, 230 kV, 345 kV, or 500 kV) are the highways that move bulk power. A site near high-capacity transmission has a far shorter, cheaper path to large-scale power than one that would require miles of new line. The voltage and spare capacity of nearby lines materially affect how much load a site can ultimately support.
Interconnection Queues
To connect large new load (or new generation) to the grid, a project must enter the utility's or grid operator's interconnection queue and undergo studies that determine what upgrades are needed and who pays for them. These queues have become badly congested, and timelines of several years are common. A site's effective value is heavily influenced by its position in — or ability to bypass — the queue.
Behind-the-Meter Generation
Because the grid is slow, many developers are turning to behind-the-meter generation — building power on-site rather than waiting for the utility. This can dramatically compress timelines and is one of the defining trends of the current cycle.
Natural Gas
On-site natural gas generation (turbines or reciprocating engines) can bring large blocks of power online relatively quickly where gas pipelines exist. It is a leading bridge solution for AI campuses that cannot wait for grid interconnection, though it carries emissions and permitting considerations.
Nuclear
Nuclear power — including restarting retired reactors, co-locating at existing nuclear plants, and future small modular reactors (SMRs) — has become a serious strategy for delivering large, firm, carbon-free power to data centers. Several major operators have signed nuclear-related deals, signaling that the largest players will pay for firm power and are willing to underwrite new generation.
The big power players you'll encounter
Duke Energy
A major utility across the Carolinas and Southeast; a key gatekeeper for data center load in fast-growing southern markets.
Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA)
The federal utility serving Tennessee and parts of six neighboring states; large generation base, competitive rates, and central geography make its territory a rising data center magnet.
Dominion Energy
Serves Virginia, home to "Data Center Alley" (Ashburn) — the densest data center market on earth and a case study in both demand and grid strain.
Chapter 4 — How Developers Evaluate Data Center Land
Once power is established as the lead criterion, developers run every prospective site through a multi-factor screen. A parcel that passes the power test still has to clear a long list of physical, regulatory, and economic checks. Here is the working framework, factor by factor.
Site Selection
Site selection is a process of elimination. Developers and their engineers score candidate parcels against a weighted set of criteria, weeding out anything with a fatal flaw — no near-term power, in a floodway, unbuildable topography, hostile zoning — before spending real money on diligence. The factors below are the core of that screen.
Acreage
Data center campuses need room — for the buildings themselves, for generators and cooling plant, for substations and switchyards, for security setbacks, and for future phases. A single large building might sit comfortably on 20–50 acres, while a multi-phase hyperscale campus can absorb 200–1,000+ acres. Contiguity matters: large, unbroken tracts are far more valuable than the same acreage split by roads, easements, or parcels.
Topography
Flat, gently graded land is ideal. Steep slopes, rock, and irregular terrain raise earthwork and foundation costs and can sterilize portions of a site. Developers favor parcels that minimize cut-and-fill and allow efficient building pads and equipment yards.
Flood Zones
Data centers are mission-critical and cannot tolerate flooding. Sites in FEMA floodways or high-risk flood zones are heavily disfavored; even partial flood exposure complicates insurance, financing, and tenant approval. Clean, well-drained ground above flood risk is a baseline requirement.
Environmental Issues
Contamination, wetlands, endangered-species habitat, and historical/archaeological constraints can all delay or block development. On brownfields this cuts both ways — the same industrial history that delivers power infrastructure can also bring remediation obligations. Phase I and, where warranted, Phase II environmental assessments are standard.
Fiber Access
A data center is useless without connectivity. Proximity to long-haul fiber routes and multiple carriers reduces the cost and risk of bringing in the bandwidth a facility needs. Sites along established fiber corridors — often following highways, rail, or pipeline rights-of-way — have a real advantage.
Water Availability
Many cooling designs consume significant water. Access to municipal water, wells, or surface water — and the legal right to use it — can be decisive, especially for large campuses in dry regions. Even air-cooled or closed-loop designs benefit from water access as a backstop. Water is covered in depth in Chapter 7.
Utility Access
Beyond electricity, sites need the full utility picture: gas (increasingly, for on-site generation), water and sewer, and telecom. The presence, capacity, and cost of extending these services factor into both feasibility and budget.
Labor Availability
Construction requires a large skilled workforce — electricians, mechanical trades, and specialized contractors — and operations require technicians. While data centers employ relatively few people once running, the construction phase is labor-intensive, and regions with deep trade labor pools build faster and cheaper.
Tax Incentives
States and localities compete hard for data centers with sales-tax exemptions on equipment, property-tax abatements, and other incentives. These can swing project economics meaningfully, and the strength of a jurisdiction's incentive program is a genuine site-selection factor. Incentives also signal a community's willingness to host the use.
Zoning
The right zoning — typically industrial or a purpose-built data center designation — and a cooperative local government dramatically de-risk a project. Sites that are already appropriately zoned, or in jurisdictions with clear approval pathways, are worth more than those requiring rezoning, variances, or contentious public hearings. Entitlement certainty has real value.
Chapter 5 — Brownfields Become Gold Mines
This is the most counterintuitive — and most lucrative — idea in the entire guide. The retired, rusting industrial sites that communities often write off as liabilities are frequently the single best data center sites in their region. Why? Because they already sit on top of the one thing everyone else is fighting for: power.
What Is a Brownfield?
A brownfield is a previously developed industrial or commercial site that is idle, underused, or abandoned, often with some real or perceived environmental contamination. Classic examples include retired power plants, closed factories, old steel and paper mills, rail yards, and chemical or manufacturing complexes. They contrast with greenfields — undeveloped land with no prior industrial use.
Why Data Centers Love Brownfields
For most uses, a brownfield's industrial baggage is a drawback. For data centers, the very features that made a site industrial are exactly what a hyperscale campus needs. The match is almost uncanny.
Existing Power Infrastructure
Heavy industry consumed enormous power, so these sites often have large existing electrical service, on-site substations, and transmission ties — the scarcest, slowest, most expensive thing to build new.
Industrial Zoning
Already zoned for intensive industrial use, sidestepping the rezoning fights and public opposition that greenfield projects often face.
Utility Connections
Existing water, sewer, gas, and telecom service — and a utility already accustomed to serving large load at the location.
Large Tracts
Industrial sites tend to be big and contiguous — hundreds of acres in single ownership, ideal for multi-phase campuses.
Existing Substations
A working switchyard and substation can save years and tens of millions versus building from scratch, and may sidestep parts of the interconnection queue.
Coal Plant Redevelopment
Retired coal plants are the crown jewels — high-voltage interconnection, large land, water rights, rail, and a community motivated to replace lost jobs and tax base.
Coal Plant Redevelopment
Retired coal-fired power plants deserve their own spotlight. When a coal plant shuts down, its generation goes away — but its grid interconnection does not. The high-voltage switchyard, the transmission ties, the cooling-water access, and often rail and large acreage remain. That interconnection was sized to export hundreds of megawatts to the grid; a data center can run that flow in reverse, importing large load through infrastructure that already exists. This is why coal-plant sites have become some of the most fought-over parcels in the country.
The old industrial economy becomes the infrastructure for AI
There is a poetic symmetry here. The mills and plants that powered the 20th-century industrial economy are being reborn as the foundation of the 21st-century AI economy. The transmission lines built to move power from a coal plant now move power to a compute campus. The rail spur that brought in coal can bring in transformers and gear. The water that cooled turbines now cools servers. Examples of brownfields finding new life as data centers include:
- Retired coal plants — high-voltage switchyards, water, rail, large land.
- Steel mills — massive electrical service, industrial zoning, heavy foundations, rail.
- Manufacturing facilities — large power, utilities, and contiguous acreage near workforce.
- Paper mills — abundant water rights, significant power, and large rural tracts.
Case Study Framework — Former Coal Plant
Consider a hypothetical that mirrors deals happening across the country. (Illustrative figures, not a specific transaction.)
| Attribute | The site | Why it matters for data centers |
|---|---|---|
| Land | 500 acres | Room for a large multi-phase campus plus substation, generation, and setbacks. |
| Transmission | 230 kV ties | Existing high-voltage interconnection — years and tens of millions saved. |
| Substation | Existing switchyard | A physical grid connection point already built and energized. |
| Rail | Active spur | Move heavy transformers, switchgear, and equipment cost-effectively. |
| Water | Permitted intake | Cooling water rights already established — a major entitlement. |
Why this may be worth more as a data center than as industrial land
Sold as generic industrial land, a 500-acre former coal plant might trade at industrial-acre pricing, discounted for demolition and remediation. But to a hyperscale developer, the interconnection and substation alone can be worth more than the land — because the alternative is a five-to-seven-year wait and a nine-figure infrastructure spend on a greenfield. When power is the binding constraint, a site that delivers power on day one commands a premium that has nothing to do with traditional land comps. That gap — between industrial-land value and powered-data-center value — is the brownfield opportunity in one sentence.
How to Determine the Highest & Best Use of an Obsolete Industrial Site
When a factory, mill, or plant goes dark, the owner faces a deceptively simple question: what is this property actually worth now? The answer depends on its highest and best use — the legally permissible, physically possible, financially feasible, and maximally productive use of the site. For a growing number of obsolete industrial properties, that use is no longer manufacturing, warehousing, or scrap-and-salvage land. It may be a data center, an industrial outdoor storage (IOS) yard, an enterprise IOS (EIOS) campus, or a logistics facility — and the gap between the old use and the best use is where value is unlocked.
The four tests of highest and best use
Appraisers and developers screen every candidate use against four filters. A use only qualifies as "highest and best" if it passes all four.
1. Legally permissible
What does the zoning, entitlement, and deed allow — and what could realistically be rezoned or variance-approved? Industrially zoned brownfields already clear this hurdle for data centers, IOS, and heavy logistics, which is a major head start.
2. Physically possible
Does the site's acreage, topography, soils, flood exposure, and existing infrastructure support the use? A 500-acre flat parcel with a substation supports a data center; a 15-acre paved yard near an interchange supports IOS.
3. Financially feasible
Does the use generate enough value to justify the cost of conversion, including demolition and remediation? Power infrastructure and paving that already exist tilt feasibility dramatically.
4. Maximally productive
Of the uses that pass the first three tests, which produces the greatest value? This is where a powered brownfield's data center value can eclipse its industrial value many times over.
Common highest-and-best-use outcomes for obsolete industrial sites
| Site profile | Likely highest & best use | Key value driver |
|---|---|---|
| Large acreage near transmission / substation | Data center campus | Deliverable power (megawatts) |
| Mid-size paved yard near highway interchange | Industrial outdoor storage (IOS) | Access, paving, truck circulation |
| Paved yard with buildings & office near port/rail | Enterprise IOS (EIOS) | Fleet, equipment & operations base |
| Clear-span building near population center | Warehouse / last-mile logistics | Proximity to demand |
| Powered brownfield inside an Opportunity Zone | Data center + OZ structure | Power plus tax treatment |
The discipline is to test the site against each use rather than defaulting to its prior life. An obsolete factory is not "a factory that no longer works" — it is a bundle of power, acreage, access, and entitlements that some buyer values more than you might expect. Determining which buyer, and which use, is the whole game.
10 Signs Your Industrial Property Is Worth More Than Its Current Use
Many owners of aging industrial real estate are sitting on far more value than their current rent roll or tax assessment suggests — because the market is now pricing power, access, and acreage rather than the building. If your property shows several of the signs below, it may be worth ordering a fresh highest-and-best-use analysis before you renew a low lease, accept a scrap-land offer, or let it sit idle.
- It sits near high-voltage transmission or a substation. Proximity to deliverable power is the single most valuable attribute a site can have in the data center era. Lines at 115 kV and above, or an on-site or adjacent substation, are a major flag.
- It has large existing electrical service. Heavy manufacturing, mills, and plants drew enormous power. That existing service — and the interconnection behind it — can be worth more than the land itself.
- It's a retired power plant or heavy-industrial site. Retired coal plants, steel mills, and paper mills often retain switchyards, transmission ties, water rights, and rail — exactly what data center developers pay premiums for.
- It offers large, contiguous acreage. Unbroken tracts of 50, 200, or 500+ acres in single ownership are increasingly scarce and are prized for multi-phase campuses.
- It has water rights or a permitted intake. Cooling water — municipal, well, surface, or reclaimed — is a genuine entitlement that raises value for compute and heavy industrial reuse.
- It's on or near major fiber routes. Long-haul fiber and multiple carriers along nearby highway, rail, or pipeline corridors make a site far more attractive for connectivity-dependent uses.
- It has direct highway, interchange, or rail access. Strong access supports data centers (heavy equipment delivery) and is the core driver of industrial outdoor storage (IOS) and enterprise IOS (EIOS) value.
- It's already zoned industrial. Existing heavy-industrial or data-center zoning sidesteps the rezoning fights and public opposition that kill or delay greenfield projects — entitlement certainty has real, bankable value.
- It sits in an Opportunity Zone or an incentive-rich jurisdiction. Federal Opportunity Zone treatment plus state and local tax incentives can stack on top of the site's physical advantages.
- It's paved, fenced, and stabilized. A paved, secured yard with truck circulation is turn-key for IOS/EIOS demand — one of the fastest-growing industrial niches — without any vertical construction.
None of these signs is a guarantee, and each must be verified rather than assumed. But if your property checks three or more boxes, the odds are high that its highest and best use — and its market value — is materially above its current use. That gap is the opportunity.
How to Sell an Industrial Campus to Institutional Buyers
Selling a large industrial campus — a former plant, mill, or multi-building complex — to an institutional buyer (a hyperscaler, a data center developer, a REIT, or an infrastructure fund) is a fundamentally different exercise from selling to a local user. Institutional buyers underwrite risk, not charm. They pay premiums for certainty and discount heavily for ambiguity. The seller's job is to remove ambiguity before going to market.
1. Establish the highest and best use first
Before pricing or marketing, determine whether the campus is worth more as a data center site, an IOS/EIOS yard, logistics, or continued industrial use. The buyer universe, the value, and the entire sale strategy flow from that answer. Marketing a powered brownfield as generic industrial land can leave enormous value on the table.
2. Assemble the power and infrastructure story
For a data center buyer, power is the deal. Document the serving utility, available capacity, transmission voltages and proximity, substation condition, interconnection rights, and any behind-the-meter or gas options. A credible, evidenced power narrative is the difference between industrial-land pricing and powered-land pricing.
3. De-risk the diligence items up front
Institutional buyers will find every problem eventually; sellers who surface them early control the narrative. Commission a Phase I (and Phase II where warranted), an ALTA survey, title work, zoning confirmation, and environmental status before listing. Clean, organized diligence compresses timelines and defends price.
4. Confirm entitlements and community posture
Existing industrial zoning, a cooperative local government, and available incentives materially raise value and lower a buyer's execution risk. Where possible, secure or document the approval pathway so the buyer isn't pricing in a rezoning fight.
5. Build a professional data room
Package everything — surveys, environmental reports, utility correspondence, tax and incentive detail, title, and infrastructure records — into an organized data room. Institutional diligence teams move faster and bid higher when information is complete and credible.
6. Reach the right buyer universe
The buyers for a powered campus are a small, specialized group: hyperscalers' real estate teams, data center developers, infrastructure funds, and the brokers who serve them. Reaching them — rather than the local industrial market — is what produces competitive, institutional-grade offers.
7. Structure the deal to match buyer needs
Institutional buyers often prefer options, phased takedowns, or long due-diligence periods that let them confirm power before closing. Sellers who understand and accommodate these structures — while protecting themselves with deposits and milestones — attract more and better bids.
Chapter 6 — Data Centers and Opportunity Zones
Few people connect these two topics, which is exactly why it is an opportunity. Opportunity Zones are designated economically distressed areas where investors can receive significant federal capital-gains tax benefits for long-term investment. Many of them happen to sit in exactly the kind of rural and post-industrial places where powered land and brownfields are found.
Opportunity Zone benefits
The Opportunity Zone program lets investors defer and potentially reduce tax on capital gains by rolling them into a Qualified Opportunity Fund that invests in property or businesses within a designated zone. The headline benefit is that appreciation on a qualifying investment held for the long term (generally ten years) can be excluded from federal capital-gains tax. The exact rules, dates, and percentages have evolved and must be confirmed with a tax advisor, but the structural incentive — favorable treatment for long-term investment in distressed areas — is the point.
Data center development in an Opportunity Zone
Data centers are capital-intensive, long-hold assets — precisely the profile the Opportunity Zone program rewards. A developer building a campus in a designated zone may pair an extraordinary operating asset (long-term, investment-grade-backed cash flow) with a powerful tax structure (deferral and potential exclusion of gains). When a brownfield with existing power also sits inside an Opportunity Zone, the stack of advantages — power, zoning, incentives, and tax treatment — can be remarkable.
Long-term capital gains
Because the largest Opportunity Zone benefit accrues to investments held for roughly a decade, the program aligns naturally with the long duration of data center leases and ownership. Investors sitting on large unrealized capital gains — from stock, a business sale, or other real estate — have a potential pathway to redeploy those gains into compute infrastructure on tax-advantaged terms.
Rural development
Many Opportunity Zones are rural, and so are many of the best power-rich data center sites — near generation, transmission, and water, away from congested metros. This overlap means data center investment can deliver on the program's original purpose (capital and jobs into distressed communities) while solving the industry's core problem (finding powerable land). It is one of the few topics where the tax policy, the community benefit, and the asset economics genuinely point the same direction.
Chapter 7 — Water Requirements
After power, water is the resource that most often makes headlines and shapes community reaction. Data centers generate enormous heat, and removing that heat efficiently has historically involved water. How much water a facility uses depends entirely on its cooling design.
Air-Cooled Facilities
Air-cooled designs reject heat to the atmosphere using fans and chillers, consuming little or no water for cooling. They trade water for electricity — air cooling is generally less energy-efficient than water-based cooling, so a dry design lowers water use but can raise power use. In water-scarce regions, this trade is increasingly worth it.
Liquid Cooling
Liquid cooling brings coolant directly to the chips (via cold plates) rather than cooling the room air. It is far more effective at handling the extreme heat of AI hardware and is becoming standard for high-density GPU clusters. Depending on the system, it can use water more efficiently and enable much higher rack densities than air cooling allows.
Immersion Cooling
Immersion cooling submerges servers in a non-conductive fluid that carries heat away directly. It enables the highest densities and excellent efficiency, and closed-loop immersion can dramatically reduce water consumption. It is newer and adds operational complexity, but it is a leading direction for AI-era facilities.
Water Usage Concerns
Traditional evaporative cooling (cooling towers) can consume large volumes of water — a point of real public concern, especially in arid regions or during drought. Water Usage Effectiveness (WUE) has joined Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) as a metric operators track and disclose. The industry is moving toward designs — air-cooled, closed-loop liquid, immersion, and reclaimed/non-potable water — that cut potable water draw.
Municipal Challenges
For a town or utility, a large data center's water demand can rival that of a sizeable population. This raises legitimate questions about capacity, drought resilience, and fairness to other users, and it has become a flashpoint in some communities. Developers increasingly address it head-on by using non-potable or reclaimed water, closed-loop systems, or dry cooling, and by being transparent about consumption. A site's water rights and the local utility's capacity are genuine site-selection factors — and a place where doing right by the community and doing right by the project align.
| Cooling approach | Relative water use | Relative energy use | Best fit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evaporative / cooling towers | High | Lower | Water-rich regions, cost-sensitive cooling |
| Air-cooled (dry) | Very low | Higher | Water-scarce regions, drought risk |
| Liquid (direct-to-chip) | Low–moderate | Efficient at density | High-density AI/GPU halls |
| Immersion | Very low (closed loop) | Very efficient | Extreme density, water-sensitive sites |
Chapter 8 — Fiber Is the New Railroad
In the 19th century, towns lived or died by the railroad. In the data center era, the equivalent is fiber-optic connectivity. Power lets a data center run; fiber lets it matter. A facility with abundant power but poor connectivity is a generator looking for a purpose.
Dark Fiber
Dark fiber is fiber-optic cable that has been laid but is not yet "lit" with active equipment — spare capacity in the ground. Access to dark fiber lets an operator light its own dedicated, high-capacity connections without waiting for a carrier to build new routes. Sites near abundant dark fiber can scale bandwidth quickly and cheaply.
Long-Haul Networks
Long-haul fiber networks carry traffic between cities and regions over long distances. Proximity to multiple long-haul routes gives a data center diverse, high-capacity paths to the rest of the internet. These routes often parallel highways, rail lines, and pipeline corridors — which is why sites along established infrastructure corridors tend to have good connectivity.
Carrier Hotels
A carrier hotel is a major interconnection facility where many networks meet and exchange traffic. Being on a route to one or more carrier hotels — or being near a major interconnection point — improves a site's connectivity options and reduces the cost of reaching many networks at once.
Redundancy
Mission-critical facilities need redundant, physically diverse fiber paths so that a single cut — a backhoe, a storm — cannot sever the site. Multiple carriers entering from different directions, along separate rights-of-way, is the gold standard. Connectivity redundancy sits alongside power redundancy as a core reliability requirement.
Latency
Latency — the delay for data to travel to and from the facility — is critical for some workloads and nearly irrelevant for others. AI training is largely latency-tolerant, so training campuses can sit far from population centers in power-rich areas. Inference, real-time applications, financial trading, and interactive services are latency-sensitive and pull capacity closer to users. Matching a site's connectivity and location profile to the intended workload is part of good underwriting.
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Chapter 9 — Understanding Megawatts (Definitions)
Answer engines and search both reward clear, self-contained definitions. This chapter is a glossary of the power and reliability concepts that govern data centers, each written as a direct answer to a direct question.
What is a megawatt (MW)?
How many homes does a megawatt power?
How much power does a data center use?
What is a gigawatt (GW)?
What is a kilowatt (kW) and rack density?
What is critical IT load?
What is PUE (Power Usage Effectiveness)?
What is WUE (Water Usage Effectiveness)?
What is N+1 redundancy?
What is 2N redundancy?
What is a hyperscale data center?
What is colocation?
What is edge computing?
What is a powered shell?
What is shovel-ready or shovel-ready powered land?
What is an interconnection?
What is a substation?
What is a switchyard?
What is behind-the-meter generation?
What is an interconnection queue?
What is a tier rating (Tier I–IV)?
Chapter 10 — The Best Markets for Data Centers
Data center activity concentrates in markets that combine power availability, connectivity, land, incentives, and proximity to demand. Here are several of the most important US markets and what defines each.
Ashburn, Virginia
Ashburn and the surrounding Loudoun County corridor — "Data Center Alley" — is the largest and densest data center market in the world. Decades of fiber infrastructure, a deep ecosystem of operators, and proximity to a major internet interconnection point made it the default. Its challenge today is its own success: power and land have grown scarce and expensive, and grid strain has pushed new development outward — which is precisely what is opening up emerging markets.
Dallas, Texas
Dallas–Fort Worth offers a large, growing market with abundant land, an independent and flexible grid (ERCOT), business-friendly policy, and strong connectivity. Texas's energy resources and pro-development stance have made it a magnet for new capacity, including power-intensive AI projects.
Phoenix, Arizona
Phoenix has become a top-tier market thanks to large available land, relatively low natural-disaster risk, strong incentives, and aggressive utility support — balanced against water scarcity, which makes cooling design and water strategy especially important there.
Atlanta, Georgia
Atlanta has surged as a major Southeast hub, with competitive power, strong fiber, attractive incentives, and central regional geography. It exemplifies the shift of growth toward Southern markets with available power.
Nashville, Tennessee
Nashville anchors a fast-growing Tennessee market, benefiting from TVA power, central US geography, strong fiber routes, business-friendly policy, and a growing tech presence. It is part of the regional story explored in depth in Chapter 11.
Memphis, Tennessee
Memphis combines TVA power, abundant water from the Memphis Sand aquifer, a central logistics location, available industrial land, and major fiber and rail infrastructure. It has drawn significant attention — including very large AI projects — as a rising power-rich market.
| Market | Key strength | Watch-out |
|---|---|---|
| Ashburn, VA | Largest ecosystem, fiber density | Power/land scarcity, grid strain, high cost |
| Dallas, TX | Land, ERCOT grid, policy | Grid weather events, competition |
| Phoenix, AZ | Land, low disaster risk, incentives | Water scarcity |
| Atlanta, GA | Power, fiber, incentives, geography | Rising competition for power |
| Nashville, TN | TVA power, central geography, growth | Emerging — infrastructure still scaling |
| Memphis, TN | TVA power, water, logistics, fiber | Water-use scrutiny, emerging market |
The throughline: as established markets like Ashburn hit power and land limits, demand spills into power-rich, land-rich, incentive-friendly regions — and the Southeast and the TVA footprint are major beneficiaries.
Chapter 11 — Why Tennessee Is Becoming a Data Center Market
Tennessee sits at the convergence of nearly every factor that matters: large, competitively priced power; abundant water; central geography; strong fiber; and a business-friendly climate. For anyone working in powered land and brownfields, it is one of the most compelling regions in the country.
TVA (Tennessee Valley Authority)
The Tennessee Valley Authority is the federal power utility serving Tennessee and parts of Alabama, Mississippi, Kentucky, Georgia, North Carolina, and Virginia. TVA operates a large, diversified generation fleet (nuclear, hydro, gas, and more), historically offers competitive rates, and has actively courted large industrial and data center load. A single utility covering a broad, power-rich region simplifies the development conversation and is a major reason the area attracts compute.
Power availability
TVA's generation base and transmission network give the region meaningful capacity to serve large new load — the scarcest resource in the industry. Combined with retired and retiring coal plants in the footprint (with their existing interconnections), Tennessee offers both grid power and brownfield power opportunities.
Water availability
The region is comparatively water-rich — major rivers, reservoirs, and in West Tennessee the Memphis Sand aquifer. For an industry where water can be a constraint elsewhere (notably the desert Southwest), reliable water is a genuine competitive advantage for cooling.
Central geography
Tennessee's central US location offers low latency to a large share of the population and proximity to multiple major markets — useful for both content distribution and latency-sensitive inference. It also sits on major logistics and transportation corridors.
Fiber routes
Major long-haul fiber routes cross the state, following its interstate and rail corridors and connecting Southeast and Midwest markets. Good connectivity plus good power is the combination data centers seek.
The four metros
Memphis
Power, water (aquifer), logistics hub, industrial land, fiber and rail — and a magnet for very large AI projects. Arguably the headline Tennessee market.
Nashville
Fast-growing economy and tech presence, central geography, TVA power, strong connectivity — a rising hub with deep labor and capital.
Knoxville
Near TVA headquarters and Oak Ridge's research and energy ecosystem; access to power, water, and a technical workforce.
Chattanooga
Famous for its municipal gigabit fiber network ("Gig City"); strong connectivity, power, and a growing tech identity.
Have land near power — or looking for a data center site?
Carson Jones is a licensed commercial real estate advisor and business broker with eXp Commercial. If you own acreage near transmission, a substation, or a brownfield, or you're sourcing powered land for development, get a straight read on what your site is worth and who's buying.
Visit Passive Investments →Chapter 12 — How Investors Underwrite Data Center Land
Underwriting data center land is fundamentally an exercise in risk decomposition. The headline numbers — price per acre, price per megawatt — are downstream of a series of risks that determine whether a site can actually become a revenue-producing campus. Sophisticated investors price each risk explicitly.
Power Risk
The dominant risk. Can the site obtain the required megawatts, at an acceptable cost, on the needed timeline? This means examining the serving utility's available capacity, transmission proximity, substation access, interconnection queue position, and the credibility of any power commitment. A site without a clear, credible path to power is not a data center site at any price — it is a speculation on getting power. Underwriting assigns this the heaviest weight.
Entitlement Risk
Will the project get the zoning, permits, and approvals it needs, and on what timeline? Sites already zoned industrial or for data center use, in cooperative jurisdictions, carry low entitlement risk. Sites requiring rezoning, variances, or contentious hearings carry more. Entitlement certainty has direct value because it removes a slow, binary risk.
Utility Risk
Beyond raw power availability, this captures the reliability, rate structure, and behavior of the utility — rate increases, large-load tariffs, the terms of interconnection agreements, who pays for upgrades, and the utility's track record of delivering on commitments. Utility risk also includes water and gas service for cooling and on-site generation.
Construction Risk
Can the campus be built on budget and on schedule? This covers site conditions (topography, soils, environmental remediation), supply chain for critical gear (transformers and switchgear have had long lead times), labor availability, and contractor capacity. Brownfields add demolition and remediation to the construction-risk column.
Tenant Risk
Who will lease or buy the capacity, and how creditworthy and committed are they? Hyperscale tenants are exceptionally creditworthy, but their site requirements are demanding and their decisions can move. Underwriting considers the depth of demand in the market, the likelihood of securing a tenant, lease term and structure, and the credit behind the cash flow.
Exit Risk
How and to whom does the investment ultimately monetize — a sale of powered land to a developer, a stabilized leased asset sold to an institutional buyer, or a long-term hold? Exit risk weighs liquidity, the buyer universe, cap-rate sensitivity, and how durable the asset's advantages (power, location, tenant) will be at sale. The more transferable the site's core advantages, the lower the exit risk.
| Risk | Core question | Mitigants investors look for |
|---|---|---|
| Power | Can we get the MW, when, at what cost? | Existing substation/interconnection, transmission proximity, signed utility commitment, behind-the-meter option |
| Entitlement | Will it be approved, and how fast? | Existing industrial/data-center zoning, cooperative jurisdiction, prior approvals |
| Utility | Are rates/terms/reliability acceptable? | Clear tariff, favorable interconnection agreement, strong utility track record |
| Construction | On budget and on time? | Clean geotech, secured long-lead equipment, available labor, defined remediation |
| Tenant | Who pays, how strong, how committed? | Investment-grade tenant, signed lease/LOI, deep market demand |
| Exit | How do we monetize? | Broad buyer pool, transferable power/location advantages, stabilized cash flow |
Chapter 13 — Data Center Economics
Data center economics revolve around a handful of metrics that translate physical capacity into financial returns. Understanding them lets you compare deals, gauge development profit, and see why the asset class attracts so much capital. (Figures are general industry ranges and vary widely by market, design, and time.)
Cost per MW
Cost per megawatt is the headline development metric — the all-in cost to build a megawatt of critical IT capacity, including building, power, and cooling infrastructure. Industry figures commonly fall in the range of roughly $7M–$15M per MW for shell-and-core through fully fitted capacity, varying with tier, density, cooling type, and location. Because capacity is leased by the megawatt, cost per MW versus rent per MW drives the return.
Cost per rack
Cost per rack expresses cost at the rack level. As rack densities climb (from ~10 kW toward 100 kW+), the cost and complexity per rack rise — especially for the power distribution and liquid/immersion cooling that high density requires. Density changes the math: a high-density hall fits more compute (and more revenue) into the same building footprint, but at higher per-rack infrastructure cost.
Cost per square foot
Cost per square foot is the traditional real estate metric, but it is secondary in data centers because value tracks power, not floor area. A small, ultra-dense AI hall can be worth far more than a large, low-density one. Cost per square foot is still used for the building shell, but megawatts are the true unit of account.
Yield on cost
Yield on cost (development yield) is stabilized net operating income divided by total development cost. It measures the return the developer creates by building. Comparing yield on cost to the cap rate at which the stabilized asset can be sold reveals the value created — the heart of the development case.
Development spreads
The development spread is the gap between yield on cost and the market exit cap rate. If a developer builds to, say, an 8% yield on cost and the stabilized asset trades at a 6% cap rate, that 200-basis-point spread is the profit margin of development, capitalized into value. Wide spreads — driven by scarce powered land and strong tenant demand — are exactly what is attracting developers and capital to the sector.
Illustrative share of total data center development cost by category. Power and cooling together often rival or exceed the building itself — a reminder that a data center is an electrical asset wearing a building.
Chapter 14 — The AI Infrastructure Buildout
The current cycle is best understood as the construction of an entirely new layer of industrial infrastructure — "AI factories" — at a pace and scale rarely seen. The numbers being committed by the largest players dwarf prior data center cycles.
AI factories
The term AI factory captures the idea that these facilities are industrial plants that manufacture intelligence — taking in electricity and data and producing trained models and inference at scale. Unlike traditional data centers optimized for many small workloads, AI factories are purpose-built around dense accelerator clusters and the extreme power and cooling they demand. They represent a new building typology, not just a bigger data center.
GPU clusters
At the heart of every AI factory are GPU clusters — thousands of accelerators networked to train and serve models. The size of these clusters keeps growing, and each generation tends to demand more power per chip and per rack. The cluster's power and networking requirements dictate the building's electrical and cooling design, which is why hardware roadmaps drive real estate decisions.
Inference facilities
Inference facilities serve trained models to users. As AI moves from training breakthroughs to mass deployment, inference demand scales with usage and is expected to become the larger long-run share of compute. Because inference is more latency-sensitive, it distributes capacity toward population centers and the edge, complementing the remote, power-rich training campuses.
Future demand
Projections for AI-driven power and capacity demand are large and rising, and while specific forecasts differ and will change, the direction is consistent: continued, substantial growth in compute, power, and the physical infrastructure to house it. The binding constraint on that growth is increasingly power and grid capacity — which loops directly back to the central thesis of this guide.
The key players
NVIDIA
The dominant maker of AI accelerators. Its hardware sets the power density and cooling requirements that every AI facility must engineer around — making NVIDIA's roadmap a de facto blueprint for data center design.
OpenAI
A leading AI lab whose models drove the consumer AI moment; its compute needs — and partnerships to build out massive capacity — are a major demand driver.
xAI
An AI company notable for standing up very large GPU clusters rapidly, including projects that lean on on-site/behind-the-meter generation to bypass grid constraints.
Around these sit the hyperscalers (AWS, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Oracle) who build or lease the capacity, the colocation developers who deliver much of it, and the utilities and power developers racing to feed it. The AI buildout is, at bottom, a power-and-real-estate story — which is why landowners, developers, and investors who understand powered land are positioned at the center of it.
Chapter 15 — Data Center FAQs (150+)
A comprehensive, answer-engine-optimized question bank covering land, power, brownfields, water, fiber, economics, markets, and process. Each answer is self-contained so it can stand alone in search and AI results.
Land & Site Basics
What is data center land?
What is powered land?
How much land does a 100 MW data center require?
How many acres does a hyperscale campus need?
Why does contiguous acreage matter?
What kind of topography do data centers need?
Can a data center be built in a flood zone?
What makes a site "shovel ready"?
What zoning do data centers require?
How far from a city should a data center be?
What is the difference between greenfield and brownfield data center sites?
How much does data center land cost?
What is an option or land bank in data center development?
Power, Megawatts & the Grid
How much power does a data center need?
What is a megawatt and why is it the key metric?
Why does power matter more than land?
What is an interconnection queue and why is it backed up?
How long does it take to get power to a data center site?
What utilities do data centers require?
What is a substation and why does a data center need one?
What is a switchyard?
How close does land need to be to transmission lines?
What voltages are typical for data center power?
What is behind-the-meter generation?
Why are data centers turning to natural gas?
Can data centers be powered by nuclear?
What are small modular reactors (SMRs)?
How does a 1 GW data center get its power?
Does AI use more power than traditional computing?
What is rack density and why is it rising?
Reliability & Design
What is N+1 redundancy?
What is 2N redundancy?
What are data center tiers (I–IV)?
What is PUE?
What is a powered shell?
What backup power do data centers use?
Brownfields & Coal Plant Conversion
What is a brownfield?
Can a brownfield become a data center?
Why do data centers love retired coal plants?
What other industrial sites convert well to data centers?
Why might a coal plant site be worth more as a data center than as industrial land?
What are the risks of brownfield data center development?
What is an environmental Phase I and Phase II assessment?
Does existing infrastructure on a brownfield always work for a data center?
How do you determine the highest and best use of an obsolete industrial site?
What are the signs my industrial property is worth more than its current use?
How do you sell an industrial campus to institutional buyers?
Opportunity Zones & Incentives
What is an Opportunity Zone?
Can a data center be built in an Opportunity Zone?
What are the tax benefits of Opportunity Zone investment?
Why are Opportunity Zones a good fit for data centers?
What tax incentives do states offer for data centers?
Water & Cooling
How much water does a data center use?
Why do data centers use water?
What is the difference between air, liquid, and immersion cooling?
Can data centers be built without using much water?
What is WUE?
Why is data center water use controversial?
Fiber & Connectivity
What is dark fiber?
Why is fiber connectivity important for data centers?
What is a long-haul network?
What is a carrier hotel?
What is fiber redundancy?
What is latency and why does it matter?
Economics & Underwriting
How do you underwrite data center land?
What is cost per MW?
What is yield on cost?
What is a development spread?
Why is cost per square foot less important for data centers?
Who are the tenants for data centers?
How long are data center leases?
What returns do data center investments target?
What is the land-basis thesis in data centers?
Why are data centers attractive to investors right now?
Markets & Geography
What are the biggest data center markets in the US?
Why is Ashburn, Virginia so dominant?
Why is the data center market shifting to the Southeast?
Why is Phoenix popular despite water scarcity?
Why is Tennessee emerging as a data center market?
What role does the TVA play?
Why does Memphis attract large AI projects?
Process, Construction & Operations
How long does it take to build a data center?
What are long-lead items in data center construction?
How many jobs does a data center create?
Do data centers benefit local communities?
What permits does a data center need?
What is a hyperscaler?
What is wholesale colocation?
What is retail colocation?
What is an AI factory?
What is a GPU cluster?
What role does NVIDIA play in data center design?
Will AI demand for data centers continue to grow?
What is the biggest risk to the data center boom?
How can a landowner tell if their land is good for a data center?
How do developers control land before committing capital?
What does "the new currency is power" mean?
A developer contacted me about my land. Should I hire my own advisor before negotiating?
How do I know whether the price offered for my land is fair?
What does a data center land option actually pay me while my property is tied up?
Is buying land next to an announced data center a good play?
How much local opposition should I expect if I sell farmland to a data center developer?
Chapter 16 — Future Trends Through 2035
The next decade will be defined by the race to feed compute with power. The trends below are already underway and are likely to intensify as AI scales and the grid struggles to keep pace.
Nuclear-powered data centers
Expect nuclear to move from novelty to mainstream strategy for the largest operators. Co-location at existing nuclear plants, restarts of retired reactors, and long-term power agreements give hyperscalers large, firm, carbon-free power that the congested grid cannot quickly provide. The willingness of major players to underwrite nuclear signals how valuable firm power has become.
Small modular reactors (SMRs)
SMRs — smaller, factory-built reactors — are a leading bet for delivering firm power co-located with data centers. Commercial timelines remain uncertain and the technology is still maturing, but the level of interest and investment suggests SMRs could become a meaningful part of the power mix for compute in the latter half of the decade.
Natural gas generation
In the near term, on-site natural gas is the pragmatic bridge. Where pipelines exist, gas can bring large blocks of power online far faster than the grid, and behind-the-meter gas plants are already powering AI campuses. Gas will likely remain a workhorse bridge fuel even as nuclear and renewables scale, with carbon and permitting considerations shaping its role.
Edge AI
As inference grows and latency-sensitive AI moves into applications, edge AI — distributed compute close to users — will expand alongside the giant remote training campuses. Expect a two-tier geography: massive, power-rich training factories in rural and post-industrial areas, and a proliferating layer of smaller inference and edge sites near population centers.
Autonomous systems
Autonomous vehicles, drones, and robotics will drive demand on both ends — centralized training and simulation, and distributed low-latency inference. The compute backbone behind physical automation will be a growing, durable source of data center demand through 2035.
National security implications
Compute has become strategic. Expect continued attention to domestic capacity, supply-chain security for chips and equipment, the resilience and security of the grid serving compute, and the treatment of data centers and powered land as matters of national interest. This elevates the strategic value of US powered land and the infrastructure that serves it.
Bonus: Checklists & Site Selection Scorecard
Practical, printable diligence tools. Use them as a starting framework — every site, utility, and jurisdiction differs, so adapt and verify with qualified professionals.
Data Center Land Checklist (50 points)
A broad screen for evaluating a prospective data center parcel across power, site, connectivity, water, regulatory, and economic factors.
- Serving electric utility identified
- Available power capacity confirmed with utility
- Distance to nearest high-voltage transmission
- Voltage and spare capacity of nearby lines
- Proximity to a substation with capacity
- Interconnection queue position/timeline understood
- Estimated cost to deliver target MW
- Behind-the-meter generation feasibility
- Natural gas pipeline access (for on-site gen)
- Target deliverable MW vs. project need
- Total acreage adequate for program
- Land is contiguous and unbroken
- Room for future phases/expansion
- Topography flat to gently sloping
- Geotechnical/soils suitability
- Outside FEMA floodway/high-risk flood zone
- Stormwater management feasible
- Seismic and natural-disaster risk acceptable
- Phase I environmental complete
- Phase II environmental (if warranted)
- Wetlands/waters delineation
- Endangered-species/habitat review
- Historical/archaeological review
- Contamination/remediation scope (if any)
- Long-haul fiber proximity
- Multiple carriers available
- Dark fiber availability
- Physically diverse fiber paths possible
- Latency profile fits intended workload
- Municipal/well/surface water access
- Water rights and volume confirmed
- Reclaimed/non-potable water option
- Sewer capacity available
- Zoned industrial or data-center use
- Rezoning/variance needs identified
- Local jurisdiction supportive
- Setback and height requirements checked
- Noise/aesthetic ordinances reviewed
- State/local tax incentives available
- Sales-tax exemption on equipment
- Property-tax abatement potential
- Road access and weight limits adequate
- Rail access (for heavy equipment)
- Construction labor availability
- Operations labor availability
- Proximity to demand/market fit
- Title clean / encumbrances reviewed
- Easements and ROWs identified
- Control structure (option/land bank) in place
- Exit/monetization path defined
Brownfield Redevelopment Checklist (30 points)
Specialized diligence for converting a retired industrial site — coal plant, mill, or factory — into a data center campus.
- Prior industrial use documented
- Existing electrical service capacity
- On-site substation present and condition
- Switchyard present and condition
- Existing transmission ties and voltage
- Interconnection rights transferable/intact
- Utility willingness to re-serve the load
- Usable capacity of existing infrastructure verified
- Demolition scope and cost estimated
- Salvage value of existing structures
- Phase I environmental complete
- Phase II sampling completed
- Contamination extent characterized
- Remediation plan and cost
- Regulatory remediation status/program
- Liability protections (e.g., applicable programs)
- Asbestos/lead/hazardous materials survey
- Existing water intake/rights
- Cooling-water feasibility
- Rail spur condition and access
- Existing zoning (industrial) confirmed
- Large contiguous acreage confirmed
- Soil/foundation suitability (heavy industrial)
- Existing roads and site access
- Gas service availability
- Fiber proximity to the site
- Community/political support
- Incentives for redevelopment available
- Timeline advantage vs. greenfield quantified
- Powered-value vs. industrial-value gap modeled
Utility Due Diligence Checklist (50 points)
A deep dive on the single most important factor — power — and the utility relationship behind it.
- Serving utility and service territory confirmed
- Regulated vs. deregulated market
- Grid operator / RTO / ISO (or TVA, etc.)
- Current available capacity for new load
- Planned capacity additions
- Generation mix serving the area
- System reliability history
- Nearest transmission line voltage
- Spare capacity on nearby lines
- Distance to interconnection point
- Substation proximity and capacity
- New substation feasibility and cost
- Interconnection process and steps
- Interconnection queue position
- Study timeline (feasibility/system impact)
- Estimated network upgrade costs
- Cost allocation (who pays upgrades)
- Large-load tariff terms
- Energy rate ($/kWh) and structure
- Demand charges
- Rate escalation history/risk
- Minimum take/contract terms
- Power factor/quality requirements
- Redundant feeds available
- Dual-substation feasibility
- Behind-the-meter generation allowed
- Standby/backup tariff terms
- On-site gas turbine feasibility
- Gas pipeline capacity and pressure
- Renewable/PPA options
- Nuclear/SMR co-location potential
- Curtailment/interruptible options
- Utility's data center track record
- Utility staffing/responsiveness
- Letter of intent / capacity reservation
- Conditional power commitment terms
- Milestone and deposit requirements
- Transformer/switchgear lead times
- Construction coordination with utility
- Metering and SCADA requirements
- Easements for utility infrastructure
- Future capacity expansion path
- Water utility capacity (for cooling)
- Water rate and availability
- Sewer capacity
- Stormwater/discharge permits
- Environmental/air permits for generators
- Regulatory approvals for new load
- Stakeholder/community considerations
- Contingency if power is delayed/denied
Data Center Site Selection Scorecard
A weighted worksheet to compare sites objectively. Score each factor 1–10, multiply by the weight, and sum. Power-related factors carry the most weight by design — reflecting that power is the binding constraint.
| Factor | Weight | Score (1–10) | Weighted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Power availability & timeline | 25% | ___ | ___ |
| Power cost & utility terms | 15% | ___ | ___ |
| Transmission/substation proximity | 10% | ___ | ___ |
| Acreage, contiguity & topography | 8% | ___ | ___ |
| Zoning & entitlement certainty | 8% | ___ | ___ |
| Fiber connectivity & diversity | 8% | ___ | ___ |
| Water availability for cooling | 7% | ___ | ___ |
| Environmental/flood condition | 6% | ___ | ___ |
| Tax incentives | 5% | ___ | ___ |
| Labor & construction access | 4% | ___ | ___ |
| Market fit & exit | 4% | ___ | ___ |
| Total | 100% | — | ___ |
Tip: any score of 1–2 on "power availability & timeline" is usually a kill criterion regardless of total — a site you cannot power is not a data center site.
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Glossary & Keyword Index
Quick definitions of the core terms in this guide, useful for orientation and for search.
Megawatt (MW)
One million watts of power; the unit data center capacity is measured and leased in.
Gigawatt (GW)
1,000 MW; city-scale power, the frontier of AI mega-campuses.
Critical IT load
Power available to computing equipment, separate from cooling/overhead.
Powered land
Land with secured access to large electrical capacity — the prized input.
Powered shell
A building with power and cooling in place; tenant completes the interior.
Shovel-ready
Entitlements, zoning, and utilities in place so construction can start.
Interconnection
The physical/contractual connection of a facility to the grid.
Interconnection queue
The backlog of projects awaiting grid-connection studies and approvals.
Substation
Infrastructure that transforms voltage and connects a site to the grid.
Switchyard
High-voltage area where transmission lines connect and are switched.
Behind-the-meter
On-site generation on the customer's side of the utility meter.
Hyperscale
Very large facilities for major cloud/AI operators.
Colocation
Leasing space and power in a provider's facility (retail or wholesale).
Edge computing
Distributed compute near users to cut latency.
Brownfield
Previously developed industrial site, often with existing power/zoning.
N+1 / 2N
Redundancy levels: one spare (N+1) vs. full duplication (2N).
PUE / WUE
Power and Water Usage Effectiveness — key efficiency metrics.
Cost per MW
All-in cost to build a megawatt of critical IT capacity.
Yield on cost
Stabilized NOI ÷ total development cost.
Development spread
Gap between yield on cost and exit cap rate — the development profit.
AI factory
Industrial-scale facility built to train and serve AI models.
GPU cluster
Thousands of accelerators networked to train/serve AI.
SMR
Small modular reactor — compact nuclear for firm on-site power.
TVA
Tennessee Valley Authority — federal utility across the region.
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Carson Jones is a licensed commercial real estate advisor and business broker with eXp Commercial. For powered-land and data center site evaluations, property acquisitions and dispositions, business sales, and investment advisory — visit Passive Investments.
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