CARSON'S CORNER / THE DEBT CRISIS

PE musical chairs

Live Grenade

Companies passed between PE owners, each time with more debt, until the music stops.

57
companies tracked
2.8
avg ownership changes
21
ended in bankruptcy
The short answer

Each hand-off adds leverage and strips assets — most often via sale-leasebacks that sell the real estate and leave the operating company paying rent. When a buyer can no longer be found, the company files. Continuation funds increasingly serve as the "buyer of last resort," letting sponsors avoid marking the loss.

Mister Car Wash — the full circle

Onex ($52M equity) → Leonard Green ($520M) → IPO at $15/share → peak $23.53 → going private at $7. A 53% decline from IPO and 70% from peak, with Leonard Green owning 67% throughout. GP-led continuation vehicles hit $115 billion in 2025, up from $75B in 2024 — a GP selling a company from one fund to another fund it also manages.

Representative cases

Selected live grenade companies
CompanySectorOwnership arcOutcome
Mister Car WashCar WashOnex → Leonard Green → IPO → take-privateGoing private at $7 (−63% from IPO)
Toys R UsRetailKKR + Bain + Vornado ($6.6B LBO)Liquidated 2018; ~$5B destroyed
Energy Future (TXU)EnergyKKR + TPG + Goldman ($45B LBO)Largest PE bankruptcy ever; ~$45B
iHeartMediaMediaBain + THL ($24B at the 2008 peak)Largest radio bankruptcy; ~$24B
Caesars (Harrah's)GamingApollo + TPG ($30.7B LBO)Bankruptcy 2015; ~$30.7B
Steward Health CareHealthcareCerberusBankrupt 2024; $9B+ liabilities
Red LobsterRestaurantGolden Gate → Thai UnionBankrupt 2024 after sale-leaseback
Envision HealthcareHealthcareKKR ($9.9B LBO)Bankrupt 2023; KKR's $3.5B wiped

Recurring patterns: sale-leasebacks that strip real estate and leave operating companies paying rent (Red Lobster, Shopko); repeat bankruptcies under successive owners (Simmons, Claire's, Payless, Gymboree, Avaya, Eddie Bauer); and continuation funds used to avoid marking losses (Citrix / Cloud Software Group, $5.6B continuation vehicle).

Frequently asked questions

What is the PE live grenade pattern?

A company sold from one PE owner to another repeatedly, with more debt each time, until it collapses. Across 57 tracked companies the average is 2.8 ownership changes; 21 ended in bankruptcy.

What was the largest PE bankruptcy ever?

Energy Future Holdings (TXU), a $45B KKR/TPG/Goldman buyout — roughly $45B destroyed.